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Task 6.4.3. Socio-economic implications

Task lead: Ines Omann, Sustainable Europe Research Institute, Austria

During this task, an Integrated Sustainability Assessment is done in three case study areas. It builds on inputs from the modelling works in other EcoChange Activities and on substantial inputs from selected stakeholders and farmers in the respective case study areas.

Via agent-based modelling and participatory approaches, scientific modelling work is linked to the daily life of people. Socio-economic scenarios were developed, which showed possible development trajectories for the case studies until 2050 (see publications below). Implementing the drivers of these trajectories into the agent-based model allows for showing the impacts climate change, markets, policies and social structures have on the landuse decisions that farmers make.

The outcomes will be available in fall 2011 and will be subsequently analysed in regard to their consequences on the sustainability of the case study region. As many of the stakeholders involved in this process are policy makers, results will be directly useful for guiding future landuse-related policies.

Publications
  • Bohunovsky, L., Jäger, J., Omann, I. 2011: Participatory scenario development for integrated sustainability assessment. Regional Environmental Change 11(2): 271-284.
  • Bohunovsky, L., Grünberger, S. and Omann, I. 2010: Socio-economic scenarios for biodiversity and ecosystem assessment. Paper presented at the International Society for Ecological Economics (ISEE) 11th Biennial Conference: Advancing Sustainability in a Time of Crisis, 22 - 25 August 2010, Oldenburg and Bremen, Germany
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